A Reinforcement Learning Algorithm for Agent-Based Modeling of Investment in Electricity Markets

نویسندگان

  • Manuel L. Costa
  • Fernando S. Oliveira
چکیده

We develop a reinforcement-learning algorithm to model investment in electricity markets, by extending the n-armed bandit algorithm, and prove its equilibrium properties. We show that there is a stationary state of the investment game in which no additional investment or retirement of plants takes place. We model a spot electricity market together with investment decisions. Our experiments suggest that in the long-run electricity markets will tend to be short of capacity, we further analyze the evolution of the technological mix of the market.

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تاریخ انتشار 2007